|

STRONG economic growth continued in 2000 despite the
introduction of the GST on 1 July. The Reserve Bank increased official interest
rates by 1.25 per cent over the year in an attempt to maintain moderate growth
and to keep inflation within their target rate. There is a hint of a slowdown in
2001 and interest rates are likely to fall in 2001. Markets at the end of the
year factored in this slowdown and as a result, the bond market improved
strongly.
The stock market saw a sell-off in technology stocks during
the year with a further more general sell-off on the last day of the year. As a
result the All Ordinaries Index increased 1.7 per cent during the year. Overseas
markets fell but the effect was cushioned to some extent by the falling
Australian dollar. The exchange rate weakness is of real concern to the
University as it directly affects the cost of journals, books and scientific
equipment.
The University’s short-term funds, which have a
substantial exposure to bonds, benefited from the bond rally and showed a return
of 8.0 per cent. The long-term pool, with its large exposure to equities,
distributed 6.8 per cent.
Property markets improved with vacancy levels falling in
all capital cities. The University’s endowment portfolio performed in line
with forecasts. Following a change to the Endowment Act the opportunity
will be taken to reposition this portfolio.
The year also saw the introduction of the GST. Although the
University is largely exempt, a number of activities do attract the tax and this
has resulted in additional administrative effort. As items such as motor
vehicles were previously sales tax exempt it is likely that change-over costs
will increase. It will be necessary to investigate the optimal holding period
for vehicles and other items of equipment.
The Government has announced that charitable institutions,
which are understood to include universities, will receive a refund of franking
credits. This measure could add 1.0 to 1.5 per cent to the return of Australian
equities.
|